- Capital availability
will influence strategic options.
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- Create robust
financial projections with realistic
assumptions.
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- Conduct scenario
analysis to determine high and low
capital requirements.
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- Capital assessment
is an iterative process.
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- Plan and
time capital raisings carefully.
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Capital, or the access to capital, will dictate the number
of strategic options that you can successfully pursue.
These options relate to product or business development,
the ability to invest in new markets or to your ability
to acquire new businesses.
You can enhance your strategic position if you understand
both the capital raising process, and your capital requirements.
Capital Raising Process
The Capital Raising Process is briefly outlined below. It
is further explained in the “Preparing
for the Capital Raising Process” article.
Since equity capital is the most expensive form of funding,
it pays to be economic and disciplined in your approach.
Managing the process and raising equity capital in stages
is critical for success.
Successive capital raisings allow you to fund each major
project or acquisition as the need arises. The key is to
have your capital committed in advance.
Successive capital raisings may have a dilutionary impact
on your shareholding percentage, but if you are raising
capital at higher prices, the value of your shareholding
may substantially increase.
Financial
Projections
The key starting point is the development
of some robust projections for
the next 3 to 5 year period. The
first 12 months need to be reported
monthly, and the subsequent periods,
years 2 to 5, on a yearly basis.
See the “Preparing
Financial Projections”
article at this Website for more
information.
These projections will be based
on various assumptions reflecting
both external and internal factors.
The assumptions are critical since
any variation may change the timing
or magnitude of expected sales.
Assumptions may also significantly
impact costs and profitability.
These assumptions feed into the
income statement and the balance
sheet and allow you to generate
the cash flow statement.
Scenario Analysis
Since the world is a fairly uncertain
place driven by political, market,
financial and event risk, it is
essential to construct a number
of financial projections: most
likely outcome, the most optimistic,
and the most pessimistic.
These three projections will give
rise to different levels of capital
funding.
If your business is growing faster
than expected (optimistic case)
more capital will be required.
Conversely, if growing slower
than expected (pessimistic case)
less capital will be required.
By using scenario analysis, you can develop a range of
capital estimates and work these through a valuation model
to determine the dilutionary impact of the capital raising.
See the “Valuation Assuming
Future Dilution” article at this Website for more
information.
Cash
Flow Statement
The numbers from the scenario
analysis need to be carefully
reviewed. Do these numbers look
reasonable, and more importantly,
achievable?
A quick check of the sales estimates
(growth rate, prices, volumes
and mix), margins (benchmark rates),
costs (fixed or variable), and
balance sheet items (debtor, creditor
and inventory days, capital expenditure
and any other accrued amounts)
may reduce any risk of significantly
overstating or understating your
cash requirements.
The cash flow statement reflects
movements in operating, investing
and financing flows.
The last line of the cash flow
statement is the most important.
It shows the net increase or decrease
in your cash position. It also
shows how much cash is needed
or generated to achieve your business
objectives.
Since capital raising is a time
consuming and costly exercise,
it pays to start the process well
in advance. It may take 6 to 12
months to raise capital from external
investors.
If your business is not breaking
even and is unlikely to do so
in the next 12 months, you may
need to go back and critically
review some of your assumptions
and ask “What costs really
need to be incurred?”
The above process (assumptions,
scenario analysis, and cash flow
review) is an iterative one.
It may need to be done several
times to finetune the numbers.
If your strategy is to grow by
acquisitions or via joint ventures,
separate models will need to be
developed to calculate these cash
flow requirements. These models
can then be consolidated with
the core business models to determine
the total cash flow requirements.
The outputs from the above process
will generate a figure that needs
to be raised. It is also advisable
to include a buffer to cover any
delays or events that may negatively
impact cash flows. Timing of cash
flow is always an issue. Unfortunately,
unforeseen events always delay
the timing of cash flows.
For most growth companies, their
balance sheets are generally structured
to exclude fixed assets. The main
assets are usually debtors, stock
or contract cash flows.
This is done deliberately to maximise
the use of capital for the growth
of the business. This is not however
what some bankers want to see.
Bank debt is usually driven by
security, although factoring may
be another option. Capital is
therefore one of the key sources
to fund your growth.
Capital Availability
It is important to have your capital
committed in advance, prior to
undertaking any major projects
or pursuing any acquisitions.
The capital raising process becomes
very difficult if the company
is in a weak financial position
or yet to reach breakeven.
From an investor’s perspective,
the increased financial risk may
be a strong negative. The lack
of go forward funding may also
heighten the market and operational
risks.
The process of determining your
capital requirements is an essential
part of your strategic and business
planning process.
By determining how much you need
and when you require it, your
business will achieve both strategic
and operational effectiveness.
The ability to execute your plans
with committed funding in place
may give you that extra edge over
your competitors.
If you want to create value in
your business, plan your capital
raising process carefully. Then
raise the money before you need
it.
Peter T Gow is the
Managing Director of Creative
Capital Pty Limited. He founded
Creative Capital to accelerate
the learning skills of entrepreneurial
CEO's and develop their expertise
in capital management, business
and strategic planning, cash flow
management and market research
and analysis. Peter has over 12
years of experience in working
with growth companies and has
been involved in the completion
of over 30 financings in the software,
manufacturing and medical areas.
His expertise covers company evaluation,
strategy and market analysis,
capital raising, transaction structuring,
documentation and completion.
Peter has also set up several
venture capital funds for a major
financial institution and appraised
a range of venture capital managers.
Creative Capital Pty Limited
Peter T Gow
61 412 235 455
petergow@creativecapital.com.au
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